Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 186.282431 215.621851 249.169637 290.604947 340.730870 399.819964 475.353239
2025-08-31 145.239964 181.642231 227.458018 290.232486 375.391928 488.953978 655.417664
2025-09-07 123.765147 163.309089 216.555797 295.223653 411.537556 582.298192 862.133755
2025-09-14 104.282356 143.025456 197.828438 283.483913 418.759976 632.993871 1017.536659
2025-09-21 92.810756 131.656293 189.039526 283.371772 441.622350 710.710332 1238.207388
2025-09-28 84.355634 123.250717 182.952312 285.651328 467.734662 798.682743 1505.051937
2025-10-05 80.677618 121.454226 186.539801 303.892130 524.470539 955.317386 1966.337334
2025-10-12 77.083437 119.207647 188.871666 320.041600 580.485214 1125.626027 2530.942088
2025-10-19 71.035985 112.156172 182.056688 318.232647 600.721096 1226.310020 2971.488071
2025-10-26 67.431943 108.784692 181.132743 327.252206 644.972129 1393.418589 3675.566560
2025-11-02 63.506310 104.399640 177.777494 330.808959 677.999160 1543.718906 4415.633383
2025-11-09 59.882677 100.162601 174.150797 333.151645 708.695879 1697.904305 5265.722416
2025-11-16 55.632808 94.756550 168.412497 331.828259 734.912717 1862.590704 6333.603444
2025-11-23 51.903266 89.994509 163.474137 331.779329 765.592814 2057.265169 7723.602038
2025-11-30 49.179678 86.839451 161.326858 337.684588 813.827446 2329.885322 9774.936788
2025-12-07 44.972220 80.370378 151.555543 323.872321 803.960692 2405.038098 10926.264919
2025-12-14 42.392357 76.879172 147.655642 323.740624 833.985757 2638.837272 13313.110841
2025-12-21 40.290796 74.144869 145.052694 326.421463 873.571348 2931.791280 16578.385179
2025-12-28 39.740384 74.532660 149.367119 347.900281 979.993246 3566.917448 23773.986963
2026-01-04 38.990820 74.418081 152.520299 366.955513 1085.754808 4281.388581 33866.403680
2026-01-11 36.947937 71.333973 148.383658 364.819303 1116.001928 4652.142731 41678.523089
2026-01-18 35.820749 70.145975 148.626441 375.474957 1198.270721 5369.035583 56974.309197
2026-01-25 34.410992 68.203117 146.807102 379.679863 1257.468172 6011.070737 74828.883587